Paulista vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 4
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
TOM
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |