Paulhan/Pézenas vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MGG
4 - 3
PAU
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEP
1 - 1
PAU
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 0
MON
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ROD
3 - 0
PAU
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCM
0 - 0
SPO
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 2
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 5
NIC
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |