Pau FC vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 1
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
PAU
1 - 1
BRC
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
TOU
2 - 1
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
ROY
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
RAO
2 - 0
PAU
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
FCR
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 2
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 0
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
BRC
1 - 3
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
VAL
2 - 0
ROM
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |