Pau FC vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 0
PAU
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 1
COL
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BEZ
0 - 1
PAU
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 1
UZE
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LES
1 - 2
PAU
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 2
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLY
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
ALB
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |