Pau FC vs Guingamp analysis

Pau FC Guingamp
76 ELO 81
3% Tilt 14.3%
1089º General ELO ranking 617º
34º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
32.1%
Pau FC
26.3%
Draw
41.5%
Guingamp

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
Pau FC
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pau FC
-10%
-3%
Guingamp

Points and table prediction

Pau FC
Their league position
Guingamp
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
13º
13º
55
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
USL Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pau FC
Guingamp
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pau FC
Guingamp
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pau FC
Pau FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2025
AMI
Amiens SC
4 - 2
Pau FC
PAU
34%
27%
40%
77 74 3 0
26 Apr. 2025
PAU
Pau FC
2 - 1
Metz
MET
24%
26%
50%
76 85 9 +1
18 Apr. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio
1 - 1
Pau FC
PAU
32%
27%
41%
76 74 2 0
11 Apr. 2025
PAU
Pau FC
2 - 2
Clermont
CLE
40%
28%
32%
75 78 3 +1
05 Apr. 2025
LOR
Lorient
5 - 0
Pau FC
PAU
67%
19%
14%
75 85 10 0

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2025
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 2
Bastia
BAS
50%
25%
26%
81 79 2 0
25 Apr. 2025
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 1
FC Martigues
FCM
65%
22%
14%
80 72 8 +1
18 Apr. 2025
AMI
Amiens SC
3 - 2
Guingamp
GUI
25%
27%
48%
80 74 6 0
12 Apr. 2025
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 2
Lorient
LOR
34%
25%
41%
80 85 5 0
07 Apr. 2025
DUN
USL Dunkerque
3 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
38%
27%
36%
81 79 2 -1