Pau FC vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 2
NIO
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
PAU
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 0
TOF
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
PSG
1 - 1
PAU
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
FCL
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ETG
1 - 1
FCR
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 1
ETG
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ETG
5 - 0
BAY
71%
20%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
AMI
0 - 0
ETG
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
ETG
1 - 0
ROD
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |