Pau FC II vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
14º
4º
57
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
LES
24%
23%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
FCP
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 1
CNF
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GUE
2 - 0
FCP
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 3
GDB
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PED
2 - 2
FCL
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
6 - 1
LEG
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NIO
1 - 3
FCL
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCL
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 4
COG
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |