Patronato vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 0
PAT
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
PAT
1 - 2
LIB
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAT
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PAT
3 - 3
9DJ
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAT
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RAS
0 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
RAS
2 - 1
9DJ
30%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BUC
5 - 1
RAS
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 0
GIM
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CIP
2 - 1
RAS
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |