Patronato vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GIM
0 - 0
PAT
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2008 |
PAT
1 - 0
CCS
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CCS
0 - 0
PAT
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
DHA
1 - 2
PAT
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
PAT
4 - 0
EMI
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 4
RAS
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
RAS
1 - 3
JUV
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
HUR
2 - 1
RAS
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
RAS
1 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |