Patronato vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BEL
3 - 0
PAT
46%
28%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 0
HUR
33%
27%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
TIG
2 - 1
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALD
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
PAT
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DOC
0 - 2
ARQ
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
DOC
0 - 0
VSC
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LAM
0 - 2
DOC
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
DOC
1 - 1
LUJ
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SBA
0 - 1
DOC
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |