Patronato vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
NOB
1 - 0
PAT
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
PAT
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
PAT
3 - 3
SMA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAU
2 - 2
PAT
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
CEN
25%
28%
48%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 0
CEN
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAU
0 - 2
VEL
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
DYJ
3 - 2
VEL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |