Patronato II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
DYJ
1 - 2
PAT
53%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
SMS
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 1
PAT
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 2
BAN
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COL
4 - 1
PAT
57%
20%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 0
DYJ
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
SMS
5 - 3
VEL
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 2
TAL
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
VEL
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 3
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |