Patronato II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 1
PAT
56%
24%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
TAL
29%
25%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
PAT
59%
22%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 1
ARG
28%
26%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
GLP
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
CAU
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAR
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 1
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |