Patronato II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 2
HUR
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 2
LAN
21%
23%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAU
1 - 1
PAT
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 2
OLI
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
PAT
81%
12%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
COL
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
RAC
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 0
SAR
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GLP
1 - 1
SAR
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |