Patronato II vs San Lorenzo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
PAT
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
EST
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ARS
1 - 0
PAT
38%
24%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
ROC
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 1
PAT
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SLO
9 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 3
SLO
35%
27%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
SLO
1 - 1
GOC
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 2
SLO
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
SMS
3 - 2
SLO
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |