Patronato II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
PAT
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ALD
1 - 2
PAT
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 1
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 2
PAT
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 1
HUR
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 1
COL
63%
21%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 1
CCS
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAU
2 - 2
LAN
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 1
VEL
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |