Patronato II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 3
TAL
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SLO
4 - 0
PAT
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
GLP
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
4 - 0
PAT
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 0
RAC
34%
23%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
TIG
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
IND
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
COL
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
EST
0 - 1
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
IND
4 - 0
DYJ
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |