Patronato II vs Atlético Rafaela II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
PAT
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
RIV
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
IND
5 - 1
PAT
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 2
ROC
12%
19%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
GOC
1 - 0
PAT
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Rafaela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
ATR
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 0
ATR
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
DYJ
4 - 2
ATR
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ATR
1 - 3
RAC
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
NOB
3 - 0
ATR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |