Patrocinense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAT
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BOA
2 - 1
PAT
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UBE
1 - 0
PAT
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
URT
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
URT
4 - 2
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
URT
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
URT
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |