Patrocinense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOM
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
PAT
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PAT
4 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 0
PAT
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PAT
3 - 0
USC
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
AMF
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
UBE
0 - 2
URT
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
URT
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
GLO
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
URT
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |