Patrocinense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
URT
4 - 0
PAT
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
4 - 1
DEM
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
UBE
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
USC
1 - 3
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 2
MAM
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
URT
4 - 0
PAT
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
URT
2 - 0
USC
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 0
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAM
3 - 0
URT
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
URT
1 - 0
UBE
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |