Patrocinense vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 2
PAT
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
4 - 0
PAT
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
IFC
36%
24%
39%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 0
PAT
84%
13%
4%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POA
0 - 2
CRZ
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
POA
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
POA
1 - 0
DEM
33%
24%
44%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 0
POA
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |