Patrocinense vs Fluminense MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FMG
0 - 2
PAT
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 1
URT
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
MAM
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
UBE
1 - 0
PAT
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
BOA
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Fluminense MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FMG
0 - 2
PAT
16%
21%
63%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 0
FMG
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FMG
0 - 1
BOA
13%
22%
65%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
URT
5 - 0
FMG
75%
15%
9%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FMG
1 - 4
UBE
13%
22%
65%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |