Patrocinense vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DEM
1 - 0
PAT
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
PAT
0 - 1
NEC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
PAT
0 - 2
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MAM
0 - 1
PAT
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
USC
0 - 1
PAT
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
DEM
0 - 0
NEC
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DEM
1 - 0
PAT
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NEC
0 - 0
DEM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
IFC
1 - 0
DEM
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
DEM
0 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |