Patrocinense vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
UBE
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
USC
1 - 3
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 2
MAM
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 1
FUN
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
URT
3 - 1
PAT
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 0
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 1
DEM
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
1 - 1
USC
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 1
FUN
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FEC
2 - 6
DEM
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |