Patrocinense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAT
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
ATH
13%
19%
68%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
TOM
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POA
3 - 2
PAT
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
CRZ
5%
15%
80%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
79%
16%
5%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 1
ATH
30%
24%
47%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
DEM
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |