Patrocinense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 2
PAT
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAM
5 - 2
PAT
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 0
USC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
0 - 1
PAT
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 2
URT
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 1
MIN
71%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 2
DEM
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
0 - 1
DEM
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |