Patrocinense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
80.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
18.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 1
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAT
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 1
POA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOM
13%
25%
61%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
AMF
2 - 0
PAT
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CRZ
3 - 2
CSA
60%
25%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 4
CRZ
20%
28%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRZ
23%
28%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
CRZ
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |