Copa Colombia . 1/16
Global 3-4
Patriotas Boyacá vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 0
PAT
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
PAS
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
AME
3 - 0
PAT
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 0
PAT
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 0
JUN
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 2
SFE
45%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
SFE
1 - 0
EQU
52%
26%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
SFE
18%
27%
55%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SFE
4 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CUC
2 - 3
SFE
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |