Paternò vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
LIC
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 3
PAT
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
USC
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
PAT
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
ASD
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 0
POR
58%
25%
18%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 2
GEL
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
GEL
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
BIA
0 - 1
GEL
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 1
LIC
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |