Paterna B vs Alaquas I Walter A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 2
PAT
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 4
CLU
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ALD
8 - 1
PAT
24%
22%
55%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PAT
4 - 0
PAT
40%
21%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 2
GOD
58%
19%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alaquas I Walter A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ALA
5 - 1
HIS
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
YAT
3 - 1
ALA
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 1
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CDC
3 - 1
ALA
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 3
ALA
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |