Paterna B vs Sp. Rocafort A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CLU
3 - 3
PAT
14%
19%
68%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ELI
0 - 2
PAT
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAT
4 - 1
PAT
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BUG
2 - 0
PAT
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 0
BEN
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sp. Rocafort A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 1
SIL
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ROC
5 - 0
BEN
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 3
ROC
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 1
ANT
46%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
ROC
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |