Paterna B vs A. Moncadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 4
PAT
53%
20%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
PED
30%
22%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
PAT
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PAT
4 - 6
ELI
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CFU
1 - 5
PAT
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
A. Moncadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
CFU
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 2
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
SIL
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
DEP
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 3
ATL
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |