Paterna B vs J. Manisense A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
35.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALA
4 - 3
PAT
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
MAN
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CLU
1 - 0
PAT
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
3 - 2
ALD
12%
17%
70%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
3 - 3
PAT
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
J. Manisense A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
HIS
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
YAT
1 - 0
JUV
61%
18%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 1
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
4 - 0
JUV
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
ZAF
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |