Paterna B vs Bugarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAT
26%
23%
52%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 4
PAT
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PAT
3 - 0
RIB
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
PAT
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BUG
4 - 3
BEN
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
RIB
1 - 0
BUG
39%
21%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
BUG
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BUG
1 - 1
VIL
67%
16%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
BUG
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |