Pastriz vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
80.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pastriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VAD
3 - 2
PAS
77%
13%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 3
SIR
33%
21%
46%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 1
PAS
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAS
1 - 1
PFC
35%
21%
45%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAS
4 - 0
CLM
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FUE
2 - 0
PEN
67%
16%
16%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CDP
0 - 1
FUE
13%
15%
72%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CFF
4 - 7
FUE
23%
18%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VAD
2 - 7
FUE
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 1
SIR
83%
10%
7%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |