Pascoe Vale SC vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NGW
3 - 4
PAS
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PAS
1 - 0
OAK
20%
24%
56%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +5 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 3
NOR
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
PAS
43%
24%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HEU
3 - 0
PAS
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 2
HUM
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
DAN
72%
18%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 5
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
BEN
25%
25%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WEC
1 - 2
DAN
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +2 |