Pascoe Vale SC vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
PAS
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
4 - 0
SOU
64%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAS
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 3
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
PAS
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 1
OAK
51%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
HUM
0 - 1
DAN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
6 - 2
DAN
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 0
DAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |