Pascoe Vale SC vs Ballarat Red Devils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 1
HEU
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 1
NOR
20%
21%
60%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
PAS
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 2
MEL
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HUM
3 - 0
PAS
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HEU
4 - 2
BRD
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
BRD
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
BRD
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 3
BRD
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |