Thyella Katsika vs Thesprotos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
9º
15º
13º
46
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thyella Katsika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
PIE
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 0
PAS
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAS
4 - 1
POF
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ENK
1 - 0
PAS
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 1
PIE
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AST
0 - 0
THE
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 1
AGN
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
THE
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
THE
0 - 1
NEA
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
IRA
5 - 1
THE
80%
15%
5%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |