Thyella Katsika vs Magnisiakos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
9º
15º
13º
1
13º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thyella Katsika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AST
2 - 2
PAS
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AGN
3 - 1
PAS
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 0
KIL
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NEA
1 - 1
PAS
55%
21%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 2
THE
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Magnisiakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 2
NEA
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 0
MGN
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 1
AEL
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 0
MGN
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POF
3 - 0
MGN
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |