Pars Jonubi vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pars Jonubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
NAF
1 - 1
PAR
37%
31%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
SHA
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
DAM
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
SNF
0 - 3
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 2
MSB
41%
30%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
DAM
44%
29%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
NIR
0 - 1
FCA
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 0
SNF
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
BES
0 - 0
FCA
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
MSV
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |