Pars Jonubi vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pars Jonubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
CHA
29%
30%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
PAR
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MSB
0 - 0
PAR
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
EMO
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
PAR
33%
30%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SMK
2 - 0
FCA
60%
24%
16%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SAI
25%
27%
49%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
NAF
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
NAF
26%
28%
47%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |