Parrillas One vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parrillas One
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 3
VIC
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PLA
4 - 1
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 2
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
OLI
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
VID
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HNP
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 2
HNP
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HNP
1 - 1
PLA
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HNP
1 - 0
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
4 - 1
HNP
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |