Parrillas One vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parrillas One
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 4
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOT
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
5 - 3
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HNP
3 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HNP
3 - 2
VID
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
4 - 3
RSO
44%
24%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 0
HNP
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
3 - 3
VID
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |