Parramatta Power vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ADE
2 - 2
PAP
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2002 |
PAP
1 - 2
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
SOU
0 - 0
PAP
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
PAP
0 - 2
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PAP
3 - 0
MEL
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SYD
6 - 2
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |