Parramatta Eagles vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
3 - 0
PAE
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAE
0 - 1
SYD
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAE
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PAE
0 - 1
ROC
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAE
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
API
0 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
BLA
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 3
SOU
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
API
0 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAE
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |