Vaprus Pärnu vs Tulevik II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FLO
4 - 2
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LEV
4 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 4
KIV
46%
22%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 0
PAR
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
AJA
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tulevik II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TUL
1 - 2
KIV
27%
23%
51%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
TUL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TUL
0 - 2
WAR
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
RAK
0 - 2
TUL
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TUL
2 - 2
RAK
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |