Vaprus Pärnu vs Tulevik II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
TJK
5 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
LOT
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAK
1 - 5
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
WAR
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 3
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Tulevik II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
TUL
2 - 1
FLO
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LEV
4 - 0
TUL
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TJK
3 - 1
TUL
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TUL
1 - 2
LOT
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LOT
4 - 1
TUL
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |