Vaprus Pärnu vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
KAL
6 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
31 | 78 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 4
LEV
7%
16%
77%
|
32 | 77 | 45 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
TUL
16%
19%
66%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
TUL
4 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SIK
1 - 2
FLO
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SIK
0 - 0
KAL
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
LEV
5 - 0
SIK
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SIK
3 - 1
TRA
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 1
SIK
45%
24%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |